Since December 4 EURUSD moved in consolidation between levels: 1.0800 – 1.1040 (blue lines at the chart). Today price broke below lower consolidation band and immediately price broke two nearest supports: 1.0780, 1.0730. Direction of movement is in line with fundamentals which means a politics of both central banks. Dovish EBC and hawkish FED should cause euro depreciation against the dollar what could be seen on today’s chart.

Next supports are located at levels: 1.0680, 1.0630, 1.0560. Currently it is likely that price will return and test lower limit of consolidation at 1.0800. If demand moves back inside the consolidation, then breakout will be a fake one. However if this scenario won’t succeed and price will rebound, then the lows from 2015 should be tested.

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EURUSD-H4

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Author of worldtrader.pl blog and big supporter of technical analysis. Active medium-term trader. In his analysis uses classical charts, price action as well as harmonic patterns and Elliott Waves. In trading he always tries to take into account two points of market's view, in accordance with the principle that each transaction may be attractive both for the demand and supply traders.