Last Friday the price broke above upper arm of the triangle and investors expected further upward movement that are consistent with the long-term trend in USDJPY. That’s not happened, and even the first week resistance had stopped upward move and activate downward rebound. On Friday, the bulls tried to rebound from the upper limit of the triangle (at the chart it would confirm the successfully breakout). However today bears have taken control and USDJPY moved back to the center of the triangle reaching the level of 120.00.

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A similar situation occurred today on EURGBP, where such a false breakout resulted in a proper breakout in the opposite direction. It is not excluded that same exact scenario will be seen on USDJPY. Currently, we should observe in which direction the proper breakout will go. If above, the next resistances are at 121.20 and 122.00. If below, the next supports are at levels: 119.10, 118.50, 116.20.

USDJPY-H4

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Author of worldtrader.pl blog and big supporter of technical analysis. Active medium-term trader. In his analysis uses classical charts, price action as well as harmonic patterns and Elliott Waves. In trading he always tries to take into account two points of market's view, in accordance with the principle that each transaction may be attractive both for the demand and supply traders.