In recent days, there has been a strong turnaround of the British currency. So far, the pound has ignored all the worse signals, and the narrative of quickly signing a new trade agreement with the European Union has prevailed. Subsequent press agencies have reported that signing the agreement is a matter of a week. The latest news, however, is that there is a strong supply-side reaction to the pound’s rate. Euphoria evaporated when it turned out that the negotiations were likely to fail. The EU is preparing a contingency plan for a non-contractual brexit, and the last chance may be an EU summit convened after Christmas.

The coming weeks may therefore mean supply pressure on the British currency. Interestingly, the technique outlook coincide with the fundamentals on the GBP/CHF chart.The coming weeks may therefore mean supply pressure on the British currency. The daily interval shows how well respected resistance in the region of 1.22 so far has stopped the growth once again.

GBPCHF Daily december
GBPCHF – In a lateral trend

The wider picture shows that the pair is in a consolidation so it can be assumed that the course will fall at least to the line connecting the last lows, i.e. to the support at 1.19. If this level does not hold, it will be possible to fall even to 1.16, i.e. the main support of the lateral trend.

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