On the first of April this year, a “death cross” appeared on the daily chart. I wrote about this phenomenon in my analysis on April 8th. This is when the two averages intersect, i.e., when the SMA50 average crosses the SMA200 average from above. The opposite situation is called the “golden cross”.

I don’t know who invented these names and described them for the first time, but they certainly make a big impression on traders and arouse increased interest on the instrument. In the case of the death cross, they herald the inevitable falls…

GBPUSD death cross
GBPUSD Daily – history likes to repeat itself…the previous “death cross” brought 700p declines

If you look at the GBPUSD daily chart it is easy to see that the previous one has brought more than 700 p’s declines. Admittedly, it took almost 3 months, but for long term players it was quite a nice reward.

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GBPUSD H4
GBPUSD H4 – Head and Shoulders completed and neck line re-tested

When we look at the H4 chart – we notice a familiar shape – the Head and Shoulders formation, the neck line seems to have been defeated, and today we witnessed its retest.

Everything indicates that the declines will continue. The nearest demand zone of 1.2230 may resist sellers by triggering an upward correction, but after it has been overcome the declines may even reach 1.2000, which would correspond approximately to the height of the mentioned H&S formation.


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