I think it would be fair to say that at the moment, we don’t know. The FOMC declared intentions of hiking rates a couple of times in 2023 and the markets did not like it even though the proposed event in 2 years away. Gold did not like it either and ended the week 5.5% down.
What’s next? Let us use price action analysis. As the shows, we are in an impulsive down move. The candles last week are the biggest we have seen recently. Gold did make an attempt on Friday to recover / stabilize but did not succeed and the day ended in ‘red’ with a long wick on the upside.
We are in a significant in the 1764 area but it appears that a break below will probably happen. The next area to provide support is located in the 1680 region. This area was in play in March and then April, effectively held price twice ( ) after which we had a decent recovery to the 1900’s.
My current bias is neutral and I don’t want to go short. I would prefer to wait and watch what happens next week. Overall, IMO, this commodity is still , until we stay above 1680. My preferred trading direction is with the trend if/when the opportunity presents itself.
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